A German research institute has developed a transportation scenario for Germany that foresees no change in truck traffic, but a decline in passenger cars.
The Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI said in its "Vision for sustainable transportation in Germany," that such a scenario is feasible because of demographic change, shifting global production processes and new mobility concepts.
"We have developed a vision that, from our point of view, sketches a realistic, comprehensive, understandable and positive picture of the necessary and possible changes of our transportation systems into the sustainable model that so many people would like," said Wolfgang Schade, who heads the Fraunhofer project.
The institute's scenario foresees that, by 2050, city dwellers will use a flexible combination of diffferent modes of transportation. People will use public transportation, car sharing,rental cars, bike sharing, ride-sharing, delivery services and taxis, the researchers said.
"Backbone of networked mobility would be the unrestricted access to all means of transportation through simple and standardized information and booking systems," the Fraunhofer Institute said.
The Institute will present this and other scenarios at the Hanover Industrial Fair April 4 - 8.
A German-language copy of the study can be downloaded here.